|
For everyone who
wants to know exactly how to calculate odds for hitting a card on turn or river
can read below how it works.
Odds and outs is an
enormous factor in texas hold 'em.
The chances of hitting your flush or
straight on the turn or river or what the chances are of getting an overcard on
the flop, the number of times you're going to flop a set with your pocket pair
are all very important factors to know in poker.
Knowing these statistics is
crucial for becoming a good player. I will give a short explanation of some
terms you will read in this article.
Outs: The number of cards
left in the deck that will improve your hand.
Pot odds: The
odds you are getting when comparing the current size of the pot versus your next
call.
Implied odds: The odds you get
after the assumed result of betting for the next rounds of betting.
If you reach the
flop with a number of outs, you’ll have to calculate what your chances are of
hitting one of those outs on turn or river.
Suppose you hold 
and the flop comes   
You have a flushdraw and it gives you 9 outs for hitting a flush on turn and river.
If you want to know
what the chances are for a heart on the turn you divide the number of outs by
the 47 unseen cards and multiply it with 100%.
For our flushdraw we have a
chance of 9/47 * 100%= 19.95% of
catching a heart on the turn.
To calculate the probability of catching a heart on
turn and river together you’ll have to calculate the chance that none of your
outs will apear on turn or river.
With 9 outs on the flop you have a 38/47 * 37/46 * 100% =
65,03% chance of not catching one of your 9 outs. This means you have a chance
of 1 - 65.03%= 35% you do hit one of your outs on turn or river.
|